Typical replacement prices, nationally
Installed prices from our model, before permits and code extras. Put in your ZIP on the cost page for local numbers.
| System | Low | Typical | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50-gallon gas water heater | $1,700 | $2,000 | $2,550 |
| 80,000 BTU 95% furnace | $4,450 | $4,850 | $5,900 |
| 3-ton central AC with coil | $4,100 | $4,650 | $6,150 |
Where the numbers come from
Makers stamp a production date into the serial, usually a year and a month or a week, each in their own code. We keep the rules for 36 brands and check them against serials whose dates are known from recall notices, printed labels and the makers themselves.
Repair or replace comes down to cost per year. A $900 repair on a furnace with two good years left is $450 a year; a new one spread over its average life is usually less. Average lifetimes come from the Department of Energy's efficiency-standard analyses.
Prices start from what the equipment sells for online, add DOE's average installation cost, then adjust the labor share to what plumbers and HVAC technicians earn where you live (Bureau of Labor Statistics, May 2025). The full method.
Popular brands
- Bradford White water heater age
- A.O. Smith water heater age
- Rheem water heater age
- Goodman furnace and AC age
- Carrier furnace and AC age
- Lennox furnace and AC age
- How long a water heater lasts
- What a symptom means
Before you sign anything
- Water heater quote checklist
- HVAC quote checklist
- The 50% rule, and when it's wrong
- Rebates by state
Common questions
Is FairReplace free?
Yes. Every tool works without an account. Some pages show a phone number or partner link that pays us, and each one is labeled.
Where do the prices come from?
Public data only: online list prices for the equipment, installation costs from the Department of Energy’s efficiency-standard analyses, and local trade wages from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (May 2025). We don’t copy other cost guides.
What happens to a quote I paste?
It is read in your browser. If you choose to add it to the local price data, we keep the system, size, price, the first three digits of your ZIP and which items were included. Never names, addresses or company names.
Can I trust the age?
Every result says how sure it is. Brands where the maker publishes the code are marked Official format; the rest are Widely documented. A manufacture date printed on the label always wins.